Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rousimar Palhares won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 27, 2011·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupRousimar Palhares: WrestlervsDan Miller: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Rousimar Palhares wins(61.6%)
Actual result: Rousimar Palhares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rousimar Palhares has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dan Miller has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rousimar Palhares
Red Corner
VS
Dan Miller
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rousimar Palhares
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs David Branch · Mar 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · Jan 12L
KOvs Alan Belcher · May 12L
KOvs Hector Lombard · Dec 12W
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Oct 13Dan MillerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Doerksen · Dec 10L
vs Nate Marquardt · Mar 11W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 12L
KOvs Jordan Mein · Mar 13L
vs Trevor Smith · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rousimar PalharesMetricDan Miller
1.75
Strikes / min
2.03
2.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
59%
Strike defense
49%
3.93
TDs / 15 min
1.67
0%
Takedown defense
47%
4.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rousimar PalharesDan Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)Dan Miller(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.9-17.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Rousimar Palhares
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Dan Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8