Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rousimar Palhares won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupRousimar Palhares: WrestlervsMike Massenzio: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rousimar Palhares wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Rousimar Palhares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rousimar Palhares threatens submissions; Mike Massenzio has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Mike Massenzio has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Massenzio (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Rousimar Palhares
Red Corner
VS
Mike Massenzio
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+435
(19%)
46
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rousimar Palhares
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs David Branch · Mar 11W
vs Dan Miller · Aug 11L
KOvs Alan Belcher · May 12L
KOvs Hector Lombard · Dec 12W
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Oct 13Mike Massenzio
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brian Stann · Aug 10L
vs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jun 11W
vs Steve Cantwell · Oct 11L
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rousimar PalharesMetricMike Massenzio
1.75
Strikes / min
2.08
2.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.59
59%
Strike defense
54%
3.93
TDs / 15 min
2.74
0%
Takedown defense
50%
4.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-1.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rousimar PalharesMike Massenzio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)Mike Massenzio(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.5-50.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Rousimar Palhares
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Mike Massenzio
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5