Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rousimar Palhares won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2010·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupRousimar Palhares: WrestlervsTomasz Drwal: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rousimar Palhares wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Rousimar Palhares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rousimar Palhares threatens submissions; Tomasz Drwal has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Tomasz Drwal has 82pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Tomasz Drwal has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rousimar Palhares
Red Corner
VS
Tomasz Drwal
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rousimar Palhares
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Miller · Aug 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · Jan 12L
KOvs Alan Belcher · May 12L
KOvs Hector Lombard · Dec 12W
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Oct 13Tomasz Drwal
oldest →latest
L
vs David Branch · Sep 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rousimar PalharesMetricTomasz Drwal
1.75
Strikes / min
3.29
2.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.26
59%
Strike defense
57%
3.93
TDs / 15 min
3.55
0%
Takedown defense
82%
4.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rousimar PalharesTomasz Drwal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)Tomasz Drwal(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Rousimar Palhares
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Tomasz Drwal
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights2