Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Roxanne Modafferi won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, September 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roxanne Modafferi wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Roxanne Modafferi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Andrea Lee has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andrea Lee has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roxanne Modafferi
Red Corner
VS
Andrea Lee
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-335
(77%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Maycee Barber · Jan 20L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22Andrea LeeL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Maycee Barber · Mar 23L
vs Natalia Silva · Aug 23L
vs Miranda Maverick · Feb 24L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricAndrea Lee
3.35
Strikes / min
4.62
5.70
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
51%
Strike defense
61%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.65
30%
Takedown defense
53%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.35Δ 3.06 — meaningful gap+0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roxanne ModafferiAndrea Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Andrea Lee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.434.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Roxanne Modafferi
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Andrea Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14