Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Roxanne Modafferi won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Friday, July 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roxanne Modafferi wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Roxanne Modafferi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Barb Honchak has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Roxanne Modafferi has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Roxanne Modafferi has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Roxanne Modafferi
Red Corner
VS
Barb Honchak
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
43
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
175.26 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22Barb Honchak
oldest →latest
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricBarb Honchak
3.35
Strikes / min
4.04
5.70
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
51%
Strike defense
66%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
0.00
30%
Takedown defense
0%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.35Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roxanne ModafferiBarb Honchak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Barb Honchak(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.913.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Roxanne Modafferi
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Barb Honchak
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights2