Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jennifer Maia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roxanne Modafferi wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Jennifer Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jennifer Maia has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Roxanne Modafferi has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Roxanne Modafferi
Red Corner
VS
Jennifer Maia
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
175.26 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22Jennifer Maia
oldest →latest
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 22W
vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22W
vs Casey O'Neill · Mar 23L
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricJennifer Maia
3.35
Strikes / min
4.35
5.70
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
51%
Strike defense
55%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
0.42
30%
Takedown defense
58%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.35Δ 2.18 — meaningful gap-0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roxanne ModafferiJennifer Maia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Jennifer Maia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.113.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Roxanne Modafferi
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Jennifer Maia
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12