Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Roxanne Modafferi won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 18, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roxanne Modafferi wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Roxanne Modafferi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Maycee Barber has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (52.9%).
- Roxanne Modafferi has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Roxanne Modafferi
Red Corner
VS
Maycee Barber
Blue Corner
+655
(13%)
Vegas Odds
-830
(89%)
43
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'5"
175.26 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22Maycee Barber
oldest →latest
W
vs Andrea Lee · Mar 23W
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 23W
vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24W
vs Karine Silva · Dec 25L
KOvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricMaycee Barber
3.35
Strikes / min
4.56
5.70
Strikes absorbed / min
2.78
51%
Strike defense
55%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.56
30%
Takedown defense
51%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.35Δ 4.13 — meaningful gap+1.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roxanne ModafferiMaycee Barber
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Maycee Barber(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-75.775.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+90.0-90.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Roxanne Modafferi
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Maycee Barber
StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13