Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raquel Pennington won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 30, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roxanne Modafferi wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Raquel Pennington wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raquel Pennington has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raquel Pennington has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roxanne Modafferi
Red Corner
VS
Raquel Pennington
Blue Corner
+400
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-450
(82%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22Raquel Pennington
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricRaquel Pennington
3.35
Strikes / min
4.10
5.70
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
51%
Strike defense
61%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
0.83
30%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.35Δ 3.13 — meaningful gap+0.78
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Roxanne Modafferi
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Raquel Pennington
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights19