Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Taila Santos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roxanne Modafferi wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Taila Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Taila Santos has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roxanne Modafferi
Red Corner
VS
Taila Santos
Blue Corner
+300
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-400
(80%)
43
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Maycee Barber · Jan 20L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22Taila SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Molly McCann · Jul 20W
vs Gillian Robertson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Nov 21L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 22L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricTaila Santos
3.35
Strikes / min
3.39
5.70
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
51%
Strike defense
58%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
2.00
30%
Takedown defense
86%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.35Δ 3.10 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roxanne ModafferiTaila Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Taila Santos(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-39.839.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-32.032.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Roxanne Modafferi
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Taila Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7