Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Roy Nelson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2013·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roy Nelson wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Roy Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roy Nelson is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Cheick Kongo has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Cheick Kongo has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Roy Nelson
Red Corner
VS
Cheick Kongo
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
49
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roy Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16L
vs Alexander Volkov · Apr 17Cheick Kongo
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Paul Buentello · Mar 10W
KOvs Pat Barry · Jun 11W
vs Matt Mitrione · Oct 11L
KOvs Mark Hunt · Feb 12W
vs Shawn Jordan · Jul 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roy NelsonMetricCheick Kongo
2.18
Strikes / min
3.33
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
1.28
46%
Strike defense
54%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
2.30
65%
Takedown defense
52%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.61Δ 4.66 — meaningful gap+2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roy NelsonCheick Kongo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roy Nelson(10 fights)Cheick Kongo(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.923.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Roy Nelson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights18
Cheick Kongo
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights6