Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Stipe Miocic won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2013·Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Roy Nelson wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Stipe Miocic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roy Nelson is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Stipe Miocic has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Stipe Miocic has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Roy Nelson
Red Corner
VS
Stipe Miocic
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
49
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roy Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16L
vs Alexander Volkov · Apr 17Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21L
KOvs Jon Jones · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roy NelsonMetricStipe Miocic
2.18
Strikes / min
4.67
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
46%
Strike defense
52%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
1.74
65%
Takedown defense
65%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.61Δ 3.27 — meaningful gap+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roy NelsonStipe Miocic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roy Nelson(10 fights)Stipe Miocic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.9-3.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-210.0210.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Roy Nelson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights18
Stipe Miocic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19