Lightweight
3 Rounds
Adriano Martins won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 22, 2015·Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Rustam Khabilov wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Adriano Martins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adriano Martins has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adriano Martins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Rustam Khabilov
Red Corner
VS
Adriano Martins
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rustam Khabilov
oldest →latest
W
vs Jason Saggo · Dec 16W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 17W
vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18L
vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19W
vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19Adriano MartinsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 14W
vs Juan Puig · Jul 14W
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 15L
vs Leonardo Santos · Oct 16L
KOvs Kajan Johnson · Sep 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rustam KhabilovMetricAdriano Martins
1.98
Strikes / min
1.80
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
65%
Strike defense
65%
3.95
TDs / 15 min
0.83
61%
Takedown defense
81%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rustam KhabilovAdriano Martins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)Adriano Martins(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.4-16.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+29.0-29.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Rustam Khabilov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Adriano Martins
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7