Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Bader won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 3, 2016·Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Germany
Style matchupRyan Bader: WrestlervsIlir Latifi: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Ryan Bader wins(66.0%)
Actual result: Ryan Bader wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Bader has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Bader
Red Corner
VS
Ilir Latifi
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan Bader
oldest →latest
W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Aug 14W
vs Phil Davis · Jan 15W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15L
KOvs Anthony Johnson · Jan 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16Ilir Latifi
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan BaderMetricIlir Latifi
2.82
Strikes / min
2.05
1.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
71%
Strike defense
56%
3.37
TDs / 15 min
2.11
80%
Takedown defense
100%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 2.31 — meaningful gap-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan BaderIlir Latifi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Bader(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.2-20.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Ryan Bader
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Ilir Latifi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16