Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Bader won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2011·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupRyan Bader: WrestlervsJason Brilz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jason Brilz wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Ryan Bader wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Bader has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Bader
Red Corner
VS
Jason Brilz
Blue Corner
-385
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+345
(22%)
42
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan BaderW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Phil Davis · Jan 15W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15L
KOvs Anthony Johnson · Jan 16W
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Sep 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16Jason BrilzL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Eric Schafer · Mar 10L
vs Rogerio Nogueira · May 10L
KOvs Vladimir Matyushenko · Apr 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan BaderMetricJason Brilz
2.82
Strikes / min
2.66
1.39
Strikes absorbed / min
1.78
71%
Strike defense
65%
3.37
TDs / 15 min
2.37
80%
Takedown defense
25%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43evenly matched on net striking+0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan BaderJason Brilz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Bader(10 fights)Jason Brilz(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Ryan Bader
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Jason Brilz
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4