Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Ryan Bader won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 16, 2014·Bangor, Maine, USA, USA
Style matchupRyan Bader: WrestlervsOvince Saint Preux: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ryan Bader wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Ryan Bader wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Bader has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
- Ovince Saint Preux has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Bader
Red Corner
VS
Ovince Saint Preux
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan BaderW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Phil Davis · Jan 15W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15L
KOvs Anthony Johnson · Jan 16W
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Sep 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan BaderMetricOvince Saint Preux
2.82
Strikes / min
3.03
1.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
71%
Strike defense
47%
3.37
TDs / 15 min
1.09
80%
Takedown defense
67%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan BaderOvince Saint Preux
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Bader(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.626.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Ryan Bader
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Ovince Saint Preux
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28