Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Bader won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 26, 2013·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupRyan Bader: WrestlervsVladimir Matyushenko: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Ryan Bader wins(66.1%)
Actual result: Ryan Bader wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vladimir Matyushenko is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Ryan Bader has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Bader has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Bader
Red Corner
VS
Vladimir Matyushenko
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
42
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan BaderW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Phil Davis · Jan 15W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15L
KOvs Anthony Johnson · Jan 16W
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Sep 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16Vladimir Matyushenko
oldest →latest
W
vs Eliot Marshall · Mar 10L
KOvs Jon Jones · Aug 10W
KOvs Alexandre Ferreira · Nov 10W
KOvs Jason Brilz · Apr 11L
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan BaderMetricVladimir Matyushenko
2.82
Strikes / min
1.90
1.39
Strikes absorbed / min
1.62
71%
Strike defense
59%
3.37
TDs / 15 min
3.25
80%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan BaderVladimir Matyushenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Bader(10 fights)Vladimir Matyushenko(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.516.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-218.0218.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Ryan Bader
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Vladimir Matyushenko
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6