Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Al Iaquinta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Al Iaquinta has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan Couture
oldest →L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Apr 13 Al IaquintaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 18L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 19L
KOvs Bobby Green · Nov 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan CoutureMetricAl Iaquinta
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.67Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan CoutureAl Iaquinta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Couture(2 fights)Al Iaquinta(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -57.1|Blue +57.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -309.0|Blue +309.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan CoutureTargetAl Iaquinta
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Al Iaquinta edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:07
29Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 2Al Iaquinta edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:24
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Al Iaquinta edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:37
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
