Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Gandra won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 28, 2026·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Ryan Gandra wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Ryan Gandra wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Daniel Medina enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ryan Gandra is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jose Daniel Medina has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Gandra has 35pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ryan Gandra has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Gandra
Red Corner
VS
Jose Daniel Medina
Blue Corner
-720
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+520
(16%)
31
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan GandraNo prior UFC fights on record.
Jose Daniel MedinaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zachary Reese · Aug 24L
KOvs Ateba Gautier · Mar 25L
SUBvs Dusko Todorovic · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan GandraMetricJose Daniel Medina
13.02
Strikes / min
2.13
1.70
Strikes absorbed / min
5.34
81%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.39
100%
Takedown defense
27%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+11.32Δ 14.53 — meaningful gap-3.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan GandraJose Daniel Medina
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Gandra(1 fights)Jose Daniel Medina(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.6-55.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Ryan Gandra
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights1
Jose Daniel Medina
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4