Middleweight
3 Rounds
Azamat Bekoev won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 3, 2025·Des Moines, Iowa, USA, USA
Style matchupRyan Loder: Submission grapplervsAzamat Bekoev: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Ryan Loder wins(64.8%)
Actual result: Azamat Bekoev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Azamat Bekoev is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ryan Loder has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Loder has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ryan Loder has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan Loder (53.5%).
- Ryan Loder has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Loder
Red Corner
VS
Azamat Bekoev
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
34
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan Loder
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Robert Valentin · Aug 24L
KOvs Ismail Naurdiev · Nov 25Azamat Bekoev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Zach Reese · Jan 25L
KOvs Yousri Belgaroui · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan LoderMetricAzamat Bekoev
5.10
Strikes / min
4.57
2.46
Strikes absorbed / min
6.83
50%
Strike defense
31%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
3.48
100%
Takedown defense
62%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.64Δ 4.90 — meaningful gap-2.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan LoderAzamat Bekoev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Loder(3 fights)Azamat Bekoev(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Ryan Loder
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3
Azamat Bekoev
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4