Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Chris Gutierrez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 23, 2019·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ryan MacDonald wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Chris Gutierrez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Gutierrez has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Gutierrez has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan MacDonald (52.9%).
- Ryan MacDonald has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan MacDonald
Red Corner
VS
Chris Gutierrez
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
33
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan MacDonald
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Sep 19Chris Gutierrez
oldest →latest
W
vs Alatengheili · Oct 23L
vs Song Yadong · Dec 23W
vs Quang Le · Aug 24W
vs John Castaneda · Apr 25L
vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan MacDonaldMetricChris Gutierrez
2.28
Strikes / min
4.40
6.49
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
45%
Strike defense
63%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.30
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-4.21Δ 5.96 — meaningful gap+1.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan MacDonaldChris Gutierrez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan MacDonald(2 fights)Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Ryan MacDonald
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Chris Gutierrez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14