Welterweight
3 Rounds
Shamar Bailey won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Shamar Bailey wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Shamar Bailey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamar Bailey has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan McGillivray
Red Corner
VS
Shamar Bailey
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
185 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan McGillivrayNo prior UFC fights on record.
Shamar BaileyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Evan Dunham · Sep 11L
KOvs Danny Castillo · Nov 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan McGillivrayMetricShamar Bailey
1.27
Strikes / min
1.56
2.20
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
52%
Strike defense
69%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.50
44%
Takedown defense
37%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.93Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-2.35
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan McGillivray(1 fights)Shamar Bailey(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ryan McGillivray
Stance—
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights1
Shamar Bailey
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3