Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Bogdan Guskov won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRyan Spann: Submission grapplervsBogdan Guskov: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Bogdan Guskov wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Bogdan Guskov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bogdan Guskov is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ryan Spann has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Spann threatens submissions; Bogdan Guskov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Spann
Red Corner
VS
Bogdan Guskov
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan Spann
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Nikita Krylov · Mar 23L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25Bogdan Guskov
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Volkan Oezdemir · Sep 23W
KOvs Zac Pauga · Feb 24W
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 25D
vs Jan Blachowicz · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan SpannMetricBogdan Guskov
3.11
Strikes / min
4.57
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
43%
Strike defense
44%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
0.00
59%
Takedown defense
57%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan SpannBogdan Guskov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Spann(10 fights)Bogdan Guskov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.6-39.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15
Bogdan Guskov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6