Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Spann won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRyan Spann: Submission grapplervsIon Cutelaba: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Ryan Spann wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Ryan Spann wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Spann threatens submissions; Ion Cutelaba has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Ion Cutelaba has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
- Ryan Spann has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ryan Spann
Red Corner
VS
Ion Cutelaba
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'5"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan Spann
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25Ion Cutelaba
oldest →latest
L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25W
SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan SpannMetricIon Cutelaba
3.11
Strikes / min
4.23
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.28
43%
Strike defense
47%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
3.76
59%
Takedown defense
75%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ryan SpannIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Spann(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.4-33.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15
Ion Cutelaba
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19