Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Mariya Agapova won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 9, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSabina Mazo: Pressure fightervsMariya Agapova: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Sabina Mazo wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Mariya Agapova wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mariya Agapova enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mariya Agapova threatens submissions; Sabina Mazo has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mariya Agapova (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sabina Mazo
Red Corner
VS
Mariya Agapova
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
29
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sabina MazoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Shana Dobson · Aug 19W
vs JJ Aldrich · Jan 20W
SUBvs Justine Kish · Sep 20L
vs Alexis Davis · Feb 21L
SUBvs Miranda Maverick · Mar 22Mariya AgapovaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Jun 20L
KOvs Shana Dobson · Aug 20L
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Mar 22L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Sep 22L
SUBvs Luana Santos · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sabina MazoMetricMariya Agapova
6.10
Strikes / min
4.43
4.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
57%
Strike defense
52%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
0.55
59%
Takedown defense
45%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.75evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sabina MazoMariya Agapova
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sabina Mazo(7 fights)Mariya Agapova(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.2-20.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-189.0189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Sabina Mazo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Mariya Agapova
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6