Lightweight
3 Rounds
Sage Northcutt won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Thursday, December 10, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSage Northcutt: Elusive strikervsCody Pfister: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Sage Northcutt wins(68.6%)
Actual result: Sage Northcutt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sage Northcutt enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Sage Northcutt has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sage Northcutt
Red Corner
VS
Cody Pfister
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+650
(13%)
30
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sage NorthcuttW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Enrique Marin · Jul 16L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Dec 16W
vs Michel Quinones · Nov 17W
vs Thibault Gouti · Feb 18W
KOvs Zak Ottow · Jul 18Cody Pfister
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs James Moontasri · Feb 15W
vs Yosdenis Cedeno · Jul 15L
vs Scott Holtzman · Jul 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sage NorthcuttMetricCody Pfister
3.58
Strikes / min
1.41
1.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
58%
Strike defense
51%
1.81
TDs / 15 min
2.82
41%
Takedown defense
0%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 3.01 — meaningful gap-1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sage NorthcuttCody Pfister
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sage Northcutt(8 fights)Cody Pfister(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.3-19.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Sage Northcutt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Cody Pfister
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4