Lightweight
3 Rounds
Sage Northcutt won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSage Northcutt: Elusive strikervsEnrique Marin: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Sage Northcutt wins(62.2%)
Actual result: Sage Northcutt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sage Northcutt enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Enrique Marin has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sage Northcutt
Red Corner
VS
Enrique Marin
Blue Corner
-490
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
30
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sage NorthcuttW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Jan 16L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Dec 16W
vs Michel Quinones · Nov 17W
vs Thibault Gouti · Feb 18W
KOvs Zak Ottow · Jul 18Enrique Marin
oldest →latest
L
vs Erick Montano · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sage NorthcuttMetricEnrique Marin
3.58
Strikes / min
1.43
1.96
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
58%
Strike defense
50%
1.81
TDs / 15 min
2.50
41%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 3.19 — meaningful gap-1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sage NorthcuttEnrique Marin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sage Northcutt(8 fights)Enrique Marin(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.2-34.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Sage Northcutt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Enrique Marin
Stance—
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2