Welterweight
3 Rounds
Mickey Gall won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2016·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Style matchupSage Northcutt: Elusive strikervsMickey Gall: Submission grappler
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: Sage Northcutt wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Mickey Gall wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sage Northcutt enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mickey Gall threatens submissions; Sage Northcutt has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Sage Northcutt
Red Corner
VS
Mickey Gall
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
30
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sage NorthcuttW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Jan 16W
vs Enrique Marin · Jul 16W
vs Michel Quinones · Nov 17W
vs Thibault Gouti · Feb 18W
KOvs Zak Ottow · Jul 18Mickey GallL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21L
vs Alex Morono · Dec 21L
KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22L
vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24L
KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sage NorthcuttMetricMickey Gall
3.58
Strikes / min
3.50
1.96
Strikes absorbed / min
4.72
58%
Strike defense
49%
1.81
TDs / 15 min
1.15
41%
Takedown defense
37%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 2.84 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sage NorthcuttMickey Gall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sage Northcutt(8 fights)Mickey Gall(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.73.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Sage Northcutt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Mickey Gall
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13