Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jonathan Martinez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 11, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSaid Nurmagomedov: Submission grapplervsJonathan Martinez: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Said Nurmagomedov wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Jonathan Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Said Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Martinez
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+198
(34%)
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Said NurmagomedovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jul 22W
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 25L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25Jonathan MartinezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vince Morales · May 22W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23L
vs Jose Aldo · May 24L
vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Said NurmagomedovMetricJonathan Martinez
3.08
Strikes / min
4.44
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
55%
Strike defense
56%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
0.38
63%
Takedown defense
68%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Said NurmagomedovJonathan Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Said Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Jonathan Martinez
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15