Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Said Nurmagomedov won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSaid Nurmagomedov: Submission grapplervsSaidyokub Kakhramonov: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Said Nurmagomedov wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Said Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Saidyokub Kakhramonov has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Said Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Said NurmagomedovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jul 22L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Mar 23W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 25L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25Saidyokub KakhramonovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Trevin Jones · Aug 21W
vs Ronnie Lawrence · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Said NurmagomedovMetricSaidyokub Kakhramonov
3.08
Strikes / min
2.05
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
0.88
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
6.63
63%
Takedown defense
83%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Said NurmagomedovSaidyokub Kakhramonov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Saidyokub Kakhramonov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.2-30.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
Said Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3