Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Vinicius Oliveira won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2025·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Style matchupSaid Nurmagomedov: Submission grapplervsVinicius Oliveira: Elusive striker
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Vinicius Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vinicius Oliveira (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Said Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Vinicius Oliveira
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+188
(35%)
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Said Nurmagomedov
oldest →latest
W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jul 22W
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Mar 23W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25Vinicius Oliveira
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Benardo Sopaj · Mar 24W
vs Ricky Simon · Jun 24W
vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 25L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Said NurmagomedovMetricVinicius Oliveira
3.08
Strikes / min
4.73
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
1.45
63%
Takedown defense
70%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+2.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Said NurmagomedovVinicius Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Vinicius Oliveira(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.1-41.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Said Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Vinicius Oliveira
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5