Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Marcos won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 21, 2023·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupSaimon Oliveira: Submission grapplervsDaniel Marcos: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Daniel Marcos wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Daniel Marcos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Saimon Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Marcos has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniel Marcos has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Saimon Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Marcos
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
35
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Saimon OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tony Gravely · Jan 22L
KOvs David Martinez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Luan Lacerda · Oct 25Daniel Marcos
oldest →latest
W
vs Davey Grant · Jul 23W
vs John Castaneda · Jun 24W
vs Adrian Yanez · Dec 24L
vs Montel Jackson · May 25W
SUBvs Miles Johns · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Saimon OliveiraMetricDaniel Marcos
2.62
Strikes / min
4.90
3.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.79
45%
Strike defense
61%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
1.35
36%
Takedown defense
85%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.25Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Saimon OliveiraDaniel Marcos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Saimon Oliveira(4 fights)Daniel Marcos(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.915.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Saimon Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Daniel Marcos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6