Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kyle Watson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sako Chivitchian wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Kyle Watson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Watson has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Sako Chivitchian
Red Corner
VS
Kyle Watson
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
42
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
180 cm
Reach
178 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sako ChivitchianNo prior UFC fights on record.
Kyle Watson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs John Makdessi · Apr 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sako ChivitchianMetricKyle Watson
2.40
Strikes / min
3.67
4.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
46%
Strike defense
62%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.40Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap+0.42
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sako Chivitchian(1 fights)Kyle Watson(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Sako Chivitchian
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights1
Kyle Watson
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2