Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Klidson Abreu won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sam Alvey wins(68.3%)
Actual result: Klidson Abreu wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Klidson Abreu enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sam Alvey
Red Corner
VS
Klidson Abreu
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
40
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22Klidson AbreuL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Feb 19L
vs Shamil Gamzatov · Nov 19L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · May 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam AlveyMetricKlidson Abreu
3.28
Strikes / min
2.05
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
52%
Strike defense
55%
0.06
TDs / 15 min
0.64
82%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sam AlveyKlidson Abreu
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Alvey(10 fights)Klidson Abreu(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.9-51.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Klidson Abreu
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4