Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Sam Alvey won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 24, 2018·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupSam Alvey: StrikervsMarcin Prachnio: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Sam Alvey wins(67.6%)
Actual result: Sam Alvey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sam Alvey
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Prachnio
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
40
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam AlveyMetricMarcin Prachnio
3.28
Strikes / min
5.52
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.15
52%
Strike defense
54%
0.06
TDs / 15 min
0.14
82%
Takedown defense
53%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35Δ 2.72 — meaningful gap+2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sam AlveyMarcin Prachnio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Alvey(10 fights)Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.9-45.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.048.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11