Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSam Alvey: StrikervsMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Sam Alvey has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sam Alvey
Red Corner
VS
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Blue Corner
+520
(16%)
Vegas Odds
-720
(88%)
40
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Klidson Abreu · Jul 19L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22Michal OleksiejczukW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam AlveyMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
3.28
Strikes / min
5.85
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
52%
Strike defense
59%
0.06
TDs / 15 min
1.02
82%
Takedown defense
52%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sam AlveyMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Alvey(10 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-62.062.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Michal Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17