Middleweight
3 Rounds
Wellington Turman won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 28, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Wellington Turman wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Wellington Turman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sam Alvey
Red Corner
VS
Wellington Turman
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
40
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Klidson Abreu · Jul 19L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22Wellington TurmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 21W
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 22L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 23L
SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam AlveyMetricWellington Turman
3.28
Strikes / min
3.23
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.17
52%
Strike defense
45%
0.06
TDs / 15 min
1.55
82%
Takedown defense
42%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sam AlveyWellington Turman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Alvey(10 fights)Wellington Turman(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.7-19.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Wellington Turman
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9