Featherweight
3 Rounds
Sam Sicilia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 24, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Aaron Phillips wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Sam Sicilia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Sicilia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sam Sicilia has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sam Sicilia has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Aaron Phillips (53.5%).
- Aaron Phillips has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sam Sicilia
Red Corner
VS
Aaron Phillips
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
40
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam SiciliaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15W
vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15L
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16L
vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17Aaron PhillipsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Matt Hobar · Aug 14L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Jul 20L
vs Gaston Bolanos · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam SiciliaMetricAaron Phillips
2.46
Strikes / min
1.51
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
59%
Strike defense
43%
1.45
TDs / 15 min
0.86
70%
Takedown defense
44%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.09Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-2.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sam SiciliaAaron Phillips
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Sicilia(10 fights)Aaron Phillips(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.514.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Sam Sicilia
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12
Aaron Phillips
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4