Featherweight
3 Rounds
Sam Sicilia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 15, 2015·San Diego, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sam Sicilia wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Sam Sicilia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Sicilia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yaotzin Meza threatens submissions; Sam Sicilia has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Sam Sicilia has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Yaotzin Meza has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sam Sicilia
Red Corner
VS
Yaotzin Meza
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
40
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam SiciliaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 14W
KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15L
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16L
vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17Yaotzin Meza
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Dec 12W
SUBvs John Albert · Jul 13L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jun 14W
vs Damian Stasiak · Apr 15L
vs Arnold Allen · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam SiciliaMetricYaotzin Meza
2.46
Strikes / min
1.43
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
1.62
59%
Strike defense
64%
1.45
TDs / 15 min
1.06
70%
Takedown defense
18%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sam SiciliaYaotzin Meza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Sicilia(10 fights)Yaotzin Meza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Sam Sicilia
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12
Yaotzin Meza
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6