Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jeremy Stephens won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupSam Stout: Pressure fightervsJeremy Stephens: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Jeremy Stephens wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Jeremy Stephens wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Stout has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sam Stout
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam StoutL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13W
vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13L
KOvs KJ Noons · Apr 14L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15L
KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam StoutMetricJeremy Stephens
4.17
Strikes / min
3.13
4.08
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
57%
Strike defense
57%
0.63
TDs / 15 min
1.10
77%
Takedown defense
61%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sam StoutJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Stout(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Sam Stout
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26