Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Sara McMann won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 26, 2022·Columbus, Ohio, USA, USA
Style matchupSara McMann: WrestlervsKarol Rosa: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Sara McMann wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Sara McMann wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karol Rosa has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sara McMann
Red Corner
VS
Karol Rosa
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-275
(73%)
45
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sara McMann
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Gina Mazany · Feb 17L
SUBvs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 17L
SUBvs Marion Reneau · Feb 18W
vs Lina Lansberg · Jan 20L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jan 21Karol Rosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Yana Santos · Jul 23L
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24L
vs Ailin Perez · Jan 25W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sara McMannMetricKarol Rosa
2.26
Strikes / min
5.88
1.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
47%
Strike defense
49%
4.38
TDs / 15 min
1.17
50%
Takedown defense
70%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34evenly matched on net striking+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sara McMannKarol Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sara McMann(10 fights)Karol Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-40.140.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Sara McMann
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights13
Karol Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11