Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marion Reneau won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 24, 2018·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sara McMann wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Marion Reneau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau threatens submissions; Sara McMann has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Marion Reneau has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Sara McMann
Red Corner
VS
Marion Reneau
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
45
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sara McMann
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Gina Mazany · Feb 17L
SUBvs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 17W
vs Lina Lansberg · Jan 20L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jan 21W
vs Karol Rosa · Mar 22Marion ReneauL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cat Zingano · Jul 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sara McMannMetricMarion Reneau
2.26
Strikes / min
3.20
1.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
47%
Strike defense
59%
4.38
TDs / 15 min
0.62
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sara McMannMarion Reneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sara McMann(10 fights)Marion Reneau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.511.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Sara McMann
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights13
Marion Reneau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12