Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Vanessa Melo won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, January 16, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Sarah Moras wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Vanessa Melo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vanessa Melo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Vanessa Melo has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sarah Moras
Red Corner
VS
Vanessa Melo
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sarah Moras
oldest →latest
L
vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 18L
vs Talita Bernardo · Oct 18L
KOvs Macy Chiasson · May 19W
KOvs Liana Jojua · Sep 19L
vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20Vanessa MeloL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Irene Aldana · Sep 19L
vs Tracy Cortez · Nov 19L
vs Karol Rosa · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sarah MorasMetricVanessa Melo
2.28
Strikes / min
3.48
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
6.13
50%
Strike defense
59%
0.67
TDs / 15 min
0.00
33%
Takedown defense
71%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.30Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-2.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sarah MorasVanessa Melo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sarah Moras(9 fights)Vanessa Melo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.0-15.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+59.0-59.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Sarah Moras
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9
Vanessa Melo
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4