Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Holtzman has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Scott Holtzman has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Patrick (53.5%).
- Alan Patrick has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19L
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21 Alan PatrickL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Damien Brown · Mar 16W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 18L
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott HoltzmanMetricAlan Patrick
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.66Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap-1.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Scott HoltzmanAlan Patrick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Alan Patrick(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +17.9|Blue -17.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Scott HoltzmanTargetAlan Patrick
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Scott Holtzman edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control1:13
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Scott Holtzman edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control2:13
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Scott Holtzman edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control2:07
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
