Lightweight
3 Rounds
Scott Holtzman won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupScott Holtzman: Pressure fightervsAlan Patrick: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(56.1%)
Actual result: Scott Holtzman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Holtzman has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Scott Holtzman has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Patrick (53.5%).
- Alan Patrick has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Scott Holtzman
Red Corner
VS
Alan Patrick
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19W
vs Jim Miller · Feb 20L
vs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21L
vs Clay Guida · Dec 22Alan PatrickL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Damien Brown · Mar 16W
vs Stevie Ray · Sep 16W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 18L
vs Bobby Green · Sep 20L
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott HoltzmanMetricAlan Patrick
4.32
Strikes / min
1.82
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
2.95
55%
Strike defense
43%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
3.01
67%
Takedown defense
43%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap-1.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Scott HoltzmanAlan Patrick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Alan Patrick(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-40.540.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Scott Holtzman
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Alan Patrick
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9