Lightweight
3 Rounds
Scott Holtzman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2017·Fresno, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(60.0%)
Actual result: Scott Holtzman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Holtzman has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Scott Holtzman has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darrell Horcher (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Scott Holtzman
Red Corner
VS
Darrell Horcher
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19W
vs Jim Miller · Feb 20L
vs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21L
vs Clay Guida · Dec 22Darrell Horcher
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 16W
vs Devin Powell · Jun 17L
SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott HoltzmanMetricDarrell Horcher
4.32
Strikes / min
2.05
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
55%
Strike defense
39%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
0.35
67%
Takedown defense
47%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap-2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Scott HoltzmanDarrell Horcher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Darrell Horcher(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.8-6.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+64.0-64.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Scott Holtzman
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Darrell Horcher
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4