Lightweight
3 Rounds
Drew Dober won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 2, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupScott Holtzman: Pressure fightervsDrew Dober: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(76.7%)
Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Scott Holtzman
Red Corner
VS
Drew Dober
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19W
vs Jim Miller · Feb 20L
vs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21L
vs Clay Guida · Dec 22Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott HoltzmanMetricDrew Dober
4.32
Strikes / min
4.48
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
0.61
67%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Scott HoltzmanDrew Dober
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Drew Dober(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.9-53.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.42.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Scott Holtzman
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26