Lightweight
3 Rounds
Scott Holtzman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 22, 2017·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupScott Holtzman: Pressure fightervsMichael McBride: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(63.1%)
Actual result: Scott Holtzman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Holtzman has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Scott Holtzman has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Michael McBride has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Scott Holtzman
Red Corner
VS
Michael McBride
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'1"
175.26 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19W
vs Jim Miller · Feb 20L
vs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21L
vs Clay Guida · Dec 22Michael McBride
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Nik Lentz · Sep 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott HoltzmanMetricMichael McBride
4.32
Strikes / min
4.08
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
5.85
55%
Strike defense
40%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
1.85
67%
Takedown defense
30%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66Δ 2.43 — meaningful gap-1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Scott HoltzmanMichael McBride
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Michael McBride(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.8-10.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.9-2.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Scott Holtzman
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Michael McBride
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights2