Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nik Lentz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 17, 2019·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupScott Holtzman: Pressure fightervsNik Lentz: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Nik Lentz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Holtzman has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Scott Holtzman
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19W
vs Jim Miller · Feb 20L
vs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21L
vs Clay Guida · Dec 22Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs David Teymur · Jun 18W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott HoltzmanMetricNik Lentz
4.32
Strikes / min
3.44
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
55%
Strike defense
50%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
3.30
67%
Takedown defense
43%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Scott HoltzmanNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.816.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Scott Holtzman
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22