Flyweight
3 Rounds
Wilson Reis won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 25, 2014·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupScott Jorgensen: WrestlervsWilson Reis: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Scott Jorgensen wins(73.5%)
Actual result: Wilson Reis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Jorgensen has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Scott Jorgensen
Red Corner
VS
Wilson Reis
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-215
(68%)
43
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott JorgensenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 13L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Mar 14W
vs Danny Martinez · Jun 14L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jul 15L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Nov 15Wilson Reis
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17L
vs John Moraga · Apr 18W
vs Ben Nguyen · Dec 18L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott JorgensenMetricWilson Reis
3.37
Strikes / min
1.83
3.41
Strikes absorbed / min
3.04
65%
Strike defense
55%
2.61
TDs / 15 min
5.15
59%
Takedown defense
47%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Scott JorgensenWilson Reis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Jorgensen(10 fights)Wilson Reis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.634.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Scott Jorgensen
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights12
Wilson Reis
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13