Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sean Brady won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 29, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sean Brady wins(67.5%)
Actual result: Sean Brady wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Aguilera is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Sean Brady has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Sean Brady threatens submissions; Christian Aguilera has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Sean Brady has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sean Brady has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Aguilera (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Sean Brady
Red Corner
VS
Christian Aguilera
Blue Corner
-455
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Brady
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Belal Muhammad · Oct 22W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24W
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25Christian Aguilera
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Ivy · Jun 20L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean BradyMetricChristian Aguilera
4.08
Strikes / min
2.54
2.77
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
59%
Strike defense
48%
3.58
TDs / 15 min
0.00
86%
Takedown defense
60%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.31Δ 2.81 — meaningful gap-1.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean BradyChristian Aguilera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Brady(10 fights)Christian Aguilera(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.0-19.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Sean Brady
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Christian Aguilera
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3