Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sean Brady won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSean Brady: WrestlervsJake Matthews: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Sean Brady wins(73.1%)
Actual result: Sean Brady wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Brady threatens submissions; Jake Matthews has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Sean Brady has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sean Brady
Red Corner
VS
Jake Matthews
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Brady
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Belal Muhammad · Oct 22W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24W
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean BradyMetricJake Matthews
4.08
Strikes / min
3.34
2.77
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
59%
Strike defense
60%
3.58
TDs / 15 min
1.44
86%
Takedown defense
64%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.31evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean BradyJake Matthews
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Brady(10 fights)Jake Matthews(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-40.240.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Sean Brady
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23